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Cost-Aware Abstention for LLM-Based IT Ticket Classification

Cost-aware abstention cut wrong ticket routes by deferring uncertain cases, while prompted LLM confidence often failed to distinguish correct answers from errors.

arXiv · Oct 22, 2026
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Source Summary

On **47,837 tickets across eight classes**, TF-IDF plus logistic regression with a calibration-selected 0.60 threshold reduced test cost from 0.763 to 0.472 and wrong routes from **15.3% to 3.5%** under the paper’s cost assumptions.

Practical Implication

For agentic classifiers, define the cost of a wrong action versus human review, freeze the routing policy on calibration data, then test it once on held-out data. Track discrimination and risk coverage, not calibration error alone.

Agent-Ready Context
On **47,837 tickets across eight classes**, TF-IDF plus logistic regression with a calibration-selected 0.60 threshold reduced test cost from 0.763 to 0.472 and wrong routes from **15.3% to 3.5%** under the paper’s cost assumptions.

For agentic classifiers, define the cost of a wrong action versus human review, freeze the routing policy on calibration data, then test it once on held-out data. Track discrimination and risk coverage, not calibration error alone.

The strongest prompted setup reached **0.477 accuracy**, versus **0.879 for fine-tuned DistilBERT** on the same 1,000-ticket subset. Results depend on one dataset, prompt design, model endpoints, and an illustrative 5:1 wrong-route-to-triage cost.
Connected Context · Feed7 Judgment

This turns abstention into an operational cost decision rather than a confidence add-on: calibrate a fixed routing threshold from the relative harm of mistakes and review, then measure held-out risk and coverage. It also sharply narrows expectations for prompted LLM routing, since a conventional fine-tuned classifier substantially outperformed the strongest prompt setup on the tested subset.

Domain-Specific Hallucination Detection in Large Language ModelsBoth show that reliability controls are dataset-dependent: a calibrated threshold or detector must be validated on the deployment domain rather than assumed portable from aggregate calibration results.Inside 847 Production Clinical AI Notes — Sebastian Fox, ComposoCost-aware human triage provides a concrete escalation policy for the broader finding that consequential model errors require expert oversight, while the clinical evidence warns that the review pathway must keep discovering failures beyond a frozen rubric.Dutch Books for Language ModelsThe Dutch-book test complements this held-out cost and coverage evaluation by checking internal probability coherence without labels; coherence alone would not determine whether abstention reduces routing harm.
Context Map
benchmarkdata#agent-evals#agent-reliability
Uncertainty
The strongest prompted setup reached **0.477 accuracy**, versus **0.879 for fine-tuned DistilBERT** on the same 1,000-ticket subset. Results depend on one dataset, prompt design, model endpoints, and an illustrative 5:1 wrong-route-to-triage cost.